Moldova’s EU Path Secured by Slim Majority as Pro-Western Government Battles Foreign Interference

October 22, 2024 – In a tightly contested referendum, Moldovans voted by a narrow majority in favor of pursuing European Union membership, electoral data revealed on Monday. The vote marked a crucial victory for the pro-Western government and President Maia Sandu, who accused foreign powers and “criminal groups” of trying to sabotage the referendum in the former Soviet republic. 

With 99.41% of votes counted, the “Yes” vote stood at 50.39%, while the “No” vote lagged slightly behind at 49.61%. The pro-EU victory was ultimately secured by the large diaspora of Moldovans abroad after fears had mounted earlier that the “No” side was in the lead. 

Claims of Voter Fraud and Russian Interference 

President Sandu, a staunch supporter of Moldova’s EU ambitions, expressed relief at the outcome but reiterated concerns over alleged widespread voter fraud and foreign interference. She described attempts to undermine vote as a “vile attack” on Moldova’s sovereignty, accusing Russia of orchestrating efforts to destabilize the country’s democratic processes. 

“Unfortunately, the justice system failed to do enough to prevent vote-rigging and corruption,” Sandu said in a statement. “We must correct what went wrong and do more to fight corruption. We heard  people’s concerns loud and clear.” 

Moldovan authorities have long accused Moscow of running a “hybrid war” campaign to destabilize the country. Allegations include financing pro-Russian opposition groups, disinformation campaigns, and orchestrating a massive vote-buying scheme. 

EU and U.S. React to Russian Tactics 

European Commission voiced its support for Moldova’s EU path, condemning alleged Russian interference. Spokesperson Peter Stano said, “Russia’s proxies aimed to destabilize Moldova’s democratic processes,” noting that disinformation and vote manipulation had intensified ahead of the referendum. 

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen praised Moldova for its resilience, stating, “Moldova shows that it is independent, strong, and committed to a European future.” 

In Washington, the White House applauded referendum results, calling it a “historic step forward” in Moldova’s European integration. However, U.S. national security spokesman John Kirby warned that Moscow would likely attempt to interfere in next month’s presidential runoff, where President Sandu will face off against Alexandr Stoianoglo, a pro-Russian candidate. 

Shor’s Vote-Buying Scheme and Military Training Plot 

Moldovan law enforcement recently uncovered a vast vote-buying scheme tied to Ilan Shor, a pro-Russian oligarch currently in exile in Russia. The scheme reportedly paid 130,000 Moldovans €15 million to influence the referendum and presidential race. Shor, who was convicted of fraud and money laundering in absentia, denied allegations, calling payments a form of legal expression. 

Adding to the tension, authorities also foiled a plot in which over 100 young Moldovans received training from private military groups in Russia, Serbia, and Bosnia. Individuals were reportedly preparing to incite civil unrest around two votes. Several suspects were detained as a result. 

What’s Next for Moldova? 

As Moldova celebrates its narrow victory in the EU referendum, attention now turns to an upcoming presidential runoff on November 3. President Sandu, who secured 42% of the vote in the first round, will face the challenge of uniting a divided electorate in her fight against Stoianoglo, who garnered 26%. 

With parliamentary elections scheduled for next year, Moldova’s pro-Western government faces an ongoing battle to fend off Russian influence while securing its path toward European integration. 

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